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Five years of resin prices, explained.

See when prices moved together, where they split, and what changed in the market behind them.

2021–2025 · European materials and feedstocks compared with monthly Brent prices.

Five-year comparison · PP & PE

January 2021–December 2025. Follow the monthly path, then choose a historical episode below.

Chart: 2021-01 = 100 · 120 means 20% above that series’ starting value. Compare movements, not price levels.

BrentPPHDPELDPEC3
Monthly price movements; 2021-01 = 100801201602002402021-012021-112022-092023-072024-052025-032025-12
Monthly history · Index: 2021-01 = 100
MonthBrentPPHDPELDPEC3
2021-01100.00100.00100.00100.00100.00
2021-02113.71114.23109.12113.10110.62
2021-03119.43134.19125.55130.00121.25
2021-04118.33147.39143.80147.24126.88
2021-05125.12154.92148.18155.17128.12
2021-06133.58156.26146.72155.17133.12
2021-07137.25154.19139.42148.28139.38
2021-08129.18152.05135.77144.14146.62
2021-09136.01150.53132.85141.38146.00
2021-10152.53150.53132.85142.07149.12
2021-11147.98155.01135.04144.83161.00
2021-12135.42156.45136.50144.83161.00
2022-01157.95155.68140.88144.83161.00
2022-02177.34155.30140.88142.76169.38
2022-03214.08163.25151.09149.66181.25
2022-04190.94181.22165.69166.90209.38
2022-05206.94177.76160.22162.07201.25
2022-06224.05169.53149.27151.72200.00
2022-07204.36156.56137.59142.76185.00
2022-08183.40143.46127.74135.86174.38
2022-09163.89133.30121.17125.86153.75
2022-10170.40129.13121.17122.41147.50
2022-11166.92129.61121.90123.79150.00
2022-12147.75128.52120.07122.07146.25
2023-01150.63124.45114.96116.21134.38
2023-02150.79123.78119.34120.34144.38
2023-03143.20127.18120.80121.03148.12
2023-04154.54127.03117.52117.59143.12
2023-05137.79124.07114.96112.41141.25
2023-06136.64117.06108.76105.17131.25
2023-07146.27110.60105.1199.66125.00
2023-08157.29109.46105.11100.69125.00
2023-09171.12112.78110.22106.21132.50
2023-10165.42116.91116.06112.41140.00
2023-11151.43117.29112.41109.31135.00
2023-12141.74113.66109.85106.55131.25
2024-01146.28112.70110.22106.90131.25
2024-02152.42117.86118.25117.24133.12
2024-03155.94123.48122.26120.69137.50
2024-04164.21126.07124.09122.59143.12
2024-05149.26125.92121.90120.52141.88
2024-06150.17123.78120.44118.28138.12
2024-07155.47122.25120.44118.28138.12
2024-08146.72123.40122.26121.03140.62
2024-09135.15123.59121.53121.72136.88
2024-10138.09121.49118.98119.31132.50
2024-11135.75119.96118.25118.62135.62
2024-12134.85119.45117.52118.62134.38
2025-01144.73118.43116.79119.31134.38
2025-02137.74120.73120.44124.83140.94
2025-03132.79123.02120.44126.21141.88
2025-04124.39120.92119.71124.83135.00
2025-05117.67115.22114.60120.00126.88
2025-06130.44113.47113.87120.00126.88
2025-07129.71113.09113.87120.00126.88
2025-08123.92112.70112.77119.31125.63
2025-09124.14111.37111.68118.62125.63
2025-10117.84109.34110.22117.24125.63
2025-11116.49107.93108.39115.17122.50
2025-12114.19106.78108.39115.17122.50

60 monthly rows · Scroll inside the table for the full period. Switch between indexed movements and percentage changes.

Five points where the explanation changes.

Choose a case to put its monthly table, comparison chart and historical explanation together. Each case uses a different interval because the turning points differ.

PeriodWhat to noticeRead the case
2021-01–2021-05resin prices outran oilOpen explanation
2022-04–2022-08PP turned down while energy stayed expensiveOpen explanation
2022-12–2023-12engineering resins fell more than oilOpen explanation
2024-01–2024-06butadiene strengthened with little net change in oilOpen explanation
2025-06–2025-09TDI diverged as supply was disruptedOpen explanation

Turn a price explanation into a cost review.

Start with the exact grade, supply route and contract period. Then separate three questions:

  1. Did the relevant input move? For PP, examine propylene before using crude. For ABS, examine its separate monomers. Match the supplier’s benchmark, grade, currency and averaging period.
  2. Did availability or demand change? A refinery can produce more propylene because fuel demand is strong. A shutdown can constrain an intermediate even when oil falls. Look for the actual event and its dates.
  3. Which part of the quotation should change? Review feedstock terms, energy adjustments and temporary supply premiums separately. A percentage change in one input is not the same percentage change in the whole resin or component price.

The missing link is the event between the input and the selling price. The same resin can be cost-led in one period and supply- or demand-led in another.

What this means for a forecast

Use the historical case to identify what could interrupt a cost trend. Falling oil plus available supply is a different scenario from falling oil plus an outage. To translate an input change into a purchase-price adjustment, use the applicable material quantities and the agreed contract terms.

Using these lessons for US purchasing

The method transfers; the price series do not become US quotations. US ethane-based PE and European naphtha-based PE can face different feedstock economics. Recheck the US grade, regional monomer, local supply, freight, currency and contract before applying an adjustment. EIA explains the differing feedstock and co-product routes in the sources below.

How to read the comparison

Each series starts at 100 in the first displayed month. An index of 120 means a 20% increase; 90 means a 10% decrease. Select “Change from start (%)” to see that movement directly.

These comparisons show relative movements, not prices per tonne. Different currencies, grades and regions can affect the comparison. Source links accompany each historical explanation.

Evidence for the explanations

  1. LyondellBasell · Q1 2021 results · 30 Apr 2021
  2. BASF · Materials business review · FY2021
  3. LyondellBasell · Q3 2022 results · 28 Oct 2022
  4. Plastribution · Review of 2022 & outlook for 2023
  5. BASF · Materials business review · FY2023
  6. Argus Butadiene · public sample · 10 May 2024, p. 6
  7. Covestro · Half-year report · 31 Jul 2025, note 11
  8. EIA · Ethane and naphtha cracking · 6 Apr 2022
  9. INEOS · ABS composition and manufacturing
  10. EIA · Monthly Brent spot history
  11. World Bank · Commodity price history